Cheltenham Festival 2018 – Betting on a budget (Day 3)

Yesterday I told you that “sometimes in life you must take a step back and thank god for what you have.” Well, after a shocking and jammy day of betting yesterday I have had a much better day today.

Firstly, you can read about how I got out of jail yesterday to finish £7.72 up after two days here.

You can also see how the tipster league is shaping up at the end of day three here.

If you are new to the betting on a budget diary it is simple. It is to showcase the fun and variety of bets you can have, whilst sticking to a reasonable budget. I like to show that you can enjoy backing the horses without breaking the bank.

As I said yesterday, a free bet on the Coral Cup from Coral ended up seeing me finish in the plus for the second day running and took my total to that £7.72 mark. But the question now is, can I build on that today?

I decided to go with a budget of £12.50. My budget on day one was the round 12 quid but after counting my lucky stars I didn’t want to change from day two’s budget. My approach however, was much different.

For today I decided to sit down before going to Paddy Power (other bookmakers are available) and actually look at the races beforehand. I made a list in each race of horses I liked the look of and took that list to the bookies with me. A bit nerdy but hey, if it work’s then I will take it.

So, let’s take a look at today’s bets.

Lucky 15 1: 10p each way unit stake = £3.00

4.50 Cheltenham – Cap Soleil 11/1 (Placed)
2.10 Cheltenham – Forza Milan 12/1
1.30 Cheltenham – Kemboy 12/1
5.30 Cheltenham – Pendra 16/1

“Déjà vu – A feeling of having already experienced the present situation.” That Oxford dictionary definition is echoing throughout my head as I look at this bet. One place at midcard odds leaves me collecting approximately 32p. A bad start. Forza Milan pulled up, Kemboy faded and probably pulled up too! I have no idea how Pendra did but Cap Soleil managed to scrape a second place. Hey, it is better than nothing.

Lucky 15 2: 10p each way unit stake = £3.00

5.30 Cheltenham – Sugar Baron 11/1
4.10 Cheltenham – The Storyteller 13/2 (Winner)
3.30 Cheltenham – Supasundae 8/1 (Placed)
2.10 Cheltenham – Sort It Out 8/1

Well that looks a bit better. A nice 13/2 winner, which also saw me score a winner on the tipster league. Davy Russell is a beautiful man. In the Stayers’ Hurdle the boy Supasundae pushed the winner close and got a cool second place. By then Sort It Out had run an absolute stinker in the Ryanair. Sugar Baron was tipped up by likes of Sky Sports and came nowhere…sums them up. A treble the odds on one winner bonus from Paddy’s sees me collect about £3.14 for the bet.  That’s better, now we are getting somewhere.

Lucky 15 3: 10p each way unit stake = £3.00

3.30 Cheltenham – Wholestone 22/1 (Placed)
4.10 Cheltenham – Viconte Du Noyer 33/1
4.50 Cheltenham – High School Days 33/1
2.50 Cheltenham – Balko Des Flos 14/1 (Winner)

Look at those prices!! Again I will say it, Davy Russell is a beautiful man. He rode Balko Des Flos beautifully to win the Ryanair against heavy favourite Un De Sceaux. Wholestone was on my shortlist for the tipster league in the Stayers’ and I was delighted to see it get up for third. Being honest, I was hoping for potentially two places on this but I am delighted to have had a winner. Working it out the returns are approximately £7.72. Now we are cooking on gas!!

At this point with three quid left to play with I decided to mix it up. I had done an each way double the previous two days but I fancied three horses outside of my lucky 15’s. Due to unit stake being a potential limitation I went for an each way Trixie. A Trixie is a combination bet that is four bets, the three doubles and the treble.

Each Way Trixie: 25p each way unit stake = £2.00

1.30 Cheltenham – Shattered Love 5/1 (Winner)
2.10 Cheltenham – Louis’ Vac Pouch 9/1
5.30 Cheltenham – Mall Dini 5/1 (Placed)

Not the worst of bets. It was a perfect start thanks to the boy Jack Kennedy on Shattered Love but a hampered run by Louis’ Vac Pouch saw any big money hopes fade. Mall Dini was favourite for a reason in the 5.30 and was always going to be in the frame. In all I should pick up £1.00. Not bad as it is half of the total stake back, but in reality I should have just put it as a lucky 15. I should have added another selection. If I had done so then the treble the odds for one winner would see me have collected a little bit more. It isn’t enough for me to get tied up over, just an observation.

At this stage I am only about 50p or so off of getting my money back. Something caught my eye today though in Paddy Power. It was a coupon for request a bet style boosts and offers on Thursday at the festival. How did I fare?

Paddy Power Special Coupon: £1.00 stake

Gordon Elliott to train 2 or more winners throughout the day 8/1 (Winner)

So. I love Gordon Elliott as a trainer. I tipped him on the preview podcast for him to be the top trainer for the meeting. The bet was a no brainer for me today. I sat there hoping Shattered Love would win the first anyway. Again, thanks to Jack Kennedy I had one of the two ticked off after just race one!!

Race two came along and there were two Gordon Elliott trained runners, Delta Work and Glenloe. I said to Kelsey “I have a chance if one of them can get up,” what would happen is the two of them would go to a bloody photo for first place! It didn’t matter who won because after just two races I had won £9.00. It was about three quarters of my outlay for the day and I had earned it back with a shrewd bet. Loving life.

Could I add to my good day with the placepot?

1 x 50p line on the placepot

1.30 – Invitation Only
2.10 – Delta Work
2.50 – Un De Sceaux
3.30 – Sam Spinner
4.10 – Last Goodbye
4.50 – Maria’s Benefit

What is crazy is that as the week has gone on, I have actually got worse at the placepot. On day one I got 5 out of 6, yesterday I scored 4 and today only 3 came in. Invitation Only saw me out of the placepot early on but Delta Work and Un De Sceaux were in the frame, along with Maria’s Benefit. The placepot is a highly unlikely bet to win so I didn’t expect much.

Today I returned, 32p, £3.14, £7.72, £1.00 and £9.00, a total of £21.18 (approximately). This sees me +£8.68 for the day and +£16.40 for the week. What this means is that with my £12.50 outlay for tomorrow (if it ain’t broke don’t fix it!) I am going to finish at least £3.90 up for the week. And that is if I have an absolute shocker. What a treat!

Can I wrap the week up with another good day? Will I continue my good form? Can I pick the winner of the Gold Cup for two consecutive years? Find out tomorrow evening.

REMEMBER you can win a free £20 bet on Friday’s Gold Cup race courtesy of Severn Sport. All you need to do is click here and fill in the entry form. Competition closes at 23:59 on Thursday night.